Uitdaging

Weersomstandigheden verschillen wereldwijd van plaats tot plaats en van tijd tot tijd. Ons klimaat heeft echter in korte tijd nog nooit zulke snelle en drastische veranderingen meegemaakt als in de afgelopen decennia. Onze uitdaging ligt in het begrijpen van de negatieve en positieve aspecten van klimaatverandering en in het bepalen van de best mogelijke manier om op deze veranderingen te reageren en ons aan te passen.

Klimaatverandering kan de hydrologische cyclus op veel manieren veranderen. De temporele en ruimtelijke patronen van regenval zullen veranderen met gevolgen voor, oppervlakte- en grondwaterberging, waterbehoeften voor de landbouw, rivierafvoeren, erosie en naar alle waarschijnlijkheid een grotere kans op extremen – droogtes en overstromingen – in verschillende delen van de wereld. De temperaturen zullen stijgen, waardoor de behoefte aan water voor de voedselproductie zal toenemen, met als gevolg dat de waterbronnen, die nu al onder druk staan, nog verder onder druk komen te staan. Irrigatie, regengevoede landbouw, waterkracht, watervoorziening en sanitaire voorzieningen zullen allemaal worden beïnvloed, wat zal leiden tot veranderingen voor de menselijke gezondheid, welvaart en veiligheid. Aan de vraagzijde zal, naarmate de bevolking groeit en naarmate hun inkomen stijgt, hun vraag naar watervoorraden veranderen, zowel in de ruimte als in de tijd.

Het netto-effect van deze veranderingen aan de vraag- en aanbodzijde zal grote uitdagingen opleveren voor het toekomstige beheer van watervoorraden voor de ontwikkeling van mens en ecosysteem. Vraagbeheer, dat gericht is op het reguleren van duurzaam watergebruik door middel van maatregelen zoals het bevorderen waterbesparende technieken voor de voedselproductie, zal steeds belangrijker worden in gebieden waar de relatieve schaarste en concurrentie tussen sectoren toeneemt. Het leveren van voldoende water komt onder druk te staan wanneer de jaarlijkse beschikbaarheid aanzienlijk zal veranderen en in die delen van de wereld waar de bevolking kwetsbaarder is. Wanneer de vraag naar water toeneemt wordt over het algemeen geprobeerd om de watervoorziening te vergroten, worden opslagcapaciteit vergroot,  wordt er water uit oppervlaktewater onttrokken, wordt regenwater opgevangen en wordt waterbesparing gestimuleerd.

FutureWater-aanpak

FutureWater ontwikkelt en past innovatieve methoden en instrumenten toe voor advies over klimaatverandering en watervoorraden. Een van de belangrijkste sterke punten van FutureWater is dat voor elk project een unieke (bestaande of nieuwe) aanpak worden toegepast en indien nodig ontwikkeld. Vooral voor watergerelateerde klimaatverandering is zo’n doelgerichtheid essentieel. We kijken naar de meest relevante klimaatparameters: b.v. regenval, temperatuur, zeespiegelstijging, water voor landbouw en voor elke parameter wordt de ruimtelijke en temporele dimensie en relevantie geëvalueerd.

FutureWater heeft toegang tot een breed scala aan klimaatgegevens, tools en experts. Experts van FutureWater hebben interne datasets ontwikkeld, maar ook tools en methoden om toegang te krijgen tot andere externe data. Typische voorbeelden zijn scriptingtools om klimaatgegevens van de verschillende CMIP-producten (Climate Model Intercomparing Project) en NASA-NEX-GDDP (Nasa Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections) te openen, te bewerken en te analyseren.

FutureWater is betrokken bij een breed scala aan klimaatverandering gerelateerde projecten in de watersector, waarbij mitigatie en aanpassing aan klimaatverandering belangrijke thema’s zijn. De experts van FutureWater hebben zelfs geholpen bij het ontwikkelen van een GCF-voorstel (Green Climate Fund). We voeren veel projecten uit waarbij de impact en aanpassing van klimaatverandering op bestaande en op toekomstige projecten centraal staat voor klanten zoals de Wereldbank, de Aziatische Ontwikkelingsbank, nationale en lokale overheden, stroomgebiedorganisaties, wetenschappelijke instellingen, universiteiten en onderzoeksorganisaties.

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    Tijdens droge zomerperiodes wordt er in de provincies rondom het IJsselmeer water aangevoerd, onder andere voor het op peil houden van de grondwaterstanden en beregening ten behoeve van de landbouw. In de meeste zomers is de buffercapaciteit van het IJsselmeer voldoende om aan alle watervragen te voldoen, maar in extreem droge zomers kan het voorkomen...

  • Capacity Building to Assess Climate Vulnerability and Adaptation Armenia

    This project will build up the capacity of Armenian hydro-meteorological professionals in selecting and using models for analyzing climate change impacts and vulnerability. The focus will be on climate change impacts and vulnerability of water resources, agriculture and natural disasters. The project will enhance the professional’s capacity in i) collecting…

  • Impacts of climate change and sustainable land management investments on the Upper Tana

    As part of the WISE-UP to Climate project FutureWater evaluated the impacts of climate change on investments in sustainable water and land management in the Thika/Chania watershed. The previously built SWAT model for this area was used to assess the impact of land management interventions under six different climate scenarios.…

  • Catchment Study: Water Balance and Allocation Modelling in Rwanda

    In an effort to introduce integrated land and water management, the Government of Rwanda, through Water for Growth Rwanda, commenced the development of catchment plans. FutureWater supported this effort by using the WEAP framework to develop catchment models for four selected demonstration catchments. Subsequently, the WEAP framework was used to…

  • Hydrological Evaluation and Ecosystem Valuation of the Lukanga Swamps

    The Lukanga Swamps in Zambia are an important biodiversity area and serve as a major hydrological component of the Kafue basin. FutureWater was contracted to assess the value and contribution of the Lukanga Swamps to the Kafue Basin. FutureWater applied a combined approach of (i) remote sensing, (ii) SWAT hydrological…

  • Training in Water Resources Modelling for ARA-Sul

    A Tailor-Made Training on Water Resources Modelling was required to equip the staff of the water agencies in Mozambique (ARAs) with additional knowledge to have a stronger advisory role towards policy and decision makers, and people living in the area. FutureWater provided this training to ARA-Sul and ARA-Norte. This training…

  • BRIGAID: BRIdging the GAp for Innovations in Disaster resilience

    Researchers, innovators and incubators develop innovative products and services to reduce the increased climate change risks. Many of these innovations, however, hardly arrive at the markets. BRIGAID BRIdges the GAp for Innovations in Disaster resilience. In the frame of BRIGAID, FutureWater contributes in two ways. Firstly, leading the coordination of…

  • Water2Invest Regional Demonstrator

    To adapt to a changing climate governments, regional development banks, international donors and investors require information on where adaptation measures are most effective and most feasible in a specific context. To make information more easily accessible to end users, the Climate-KIC innovation project Water2Invest developed an offline and online tool.…

  • Hydropower Development Assessment for the Tamakoshi River Basin

    The overall objective of this project is to improve the understanding of the expected impacts of climate change on water availability in the context of potential hydropower development in the Tamakoshi River Basin. Specifically, the project aims to (i) Understand the current baseline hydrological regime of the Tamakoshi River Basin,…

  • Development of a Water Allocation Model of the Incomati River Basin

    Two water allocation models were developed in this project as a tool to support policy evaluation and improve strategic and operational decision making procedures of ARA-Sul. WEAP (Water Evaluation And Planning) was chosen as modelling framework. Different scenarios were implemented in WEAP to show the impacts of possible changes and…

  • System-Risk: A large-scale systems approach to flood risk assessment and management

    System-Risk is a Marie-Skłodowska-Curie European Training Network which aims on developing and implementing a systems approach for large-scale flood risk assessment and management and provides a framework for training and career development of 15 Early Stage Researchers (ESRs). In collaboration with the Royal Meteorological Institute (KNMI), FutureWater is the hosting…

  • Rainfall input data for hydrological model in the Tana Basin

    The International Water Management Institute (IWMI) carried out hydrological modeling of the Tana Basin and needed improved rainfall datasets for this modeling exercise. FutureWater supported IWMI in preparing improved rainfall forcing based on the CHIRPS dataset.

  • Flying Sensors for Ultra-High Resolution Flood Risk Identification at Local Scales

    The outputs of this project can be summarized as providing real time dike and levee information at local scales (up to 10,000 ha) that is collected, analysed and used at the same local scale. The output is divided into two components. First, the Flying Sensor information will be used for…

  • IMPREX: IMproving PRedictions and management of hydrological EXtremes

    FutureWater leads the coordination of the “Agriculture and Drought” sectoral Work Package of IMPREX. This WP specifically aims to study and evaluate the use of IMPREX weather forecasts and predictions, climate variability, and drought indicators to assess agricultural drought risk and impacts over four case studies and at the pan-European…

  • Preliminary Study for a Payment for Watershed Services Scheme

    This project pilots a Payment for Watershed Services (PWS) scheme in the Rwenzori Mountains National Park (RMNP) in Uganda. The goal of the pilot is to study the feasibility of the PWS scheme in the watersheds of the Mubuku and Nyamwamba rivers and supporting nature conservation and a healthy watershed…

  • Flying Sensors informatie voor een duurzamere water en energie economie

    Zoetwatervoorziening is belangrijk en zal met de toenemende vraag en de gevolgen van klimaatverandering nog belangrijker worden in de toekomst. Een tot nu toe onderbelicht aspect is de energieconsumptie die nodig is om aan de zoetwatervoorziening te voldoen. Gemalen en pompen gebruiken een substantiële hoeveelheid energie om dit water naar de eindgebruiker te krijgen. Met...

  • Hydrological pre-feasibility assessment for the Romuku hydropower plant, Central Sulawesi, Indonesia

    Following the successful development of other hydropower facilities in Indonesia, a new project aims to study the potential of the “Romuku” run-of-river power plant in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia. A first step is to undertake a pre-Feasibility Study which will result in a go no-go decision for a more detailed Feasibility…

  • Water Resources Model for the Kenate Basin in South-Sudan

    As there is an urgent need for informed decision making in ongoing and upcoming land and water resource development plans, the governments of South Sudan and the Netherlands (GoN) initiated a program for the Water Sector in Eastern Equatoria State (ProWasEES). The overall objective of this program is that “Kenate…

  • Review Climate Change Hindu-Kush-Himalaya

    FutureWater provided a comprehensive review study on climate change and the impacts on cryosphere, hydrological regimes and glacier lakes in the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra river basins. This review study was done in the context of future hydropower development in the region.

  • Fresh Water Options Optimization

    This project identified opportunities for innovative solutions that decrease local fresh water shortages in economic vulnerable regions under increasing water stress (droughts, salinization). The project demonstrated the business potential of fresh water solutions for a case study area with intensive agriculture within the Valencia region, Spain. FutureWater’s role in this…

  • Inclusive Development Paths for Healthy Red River Landscapes

    Rapid land use changes in the Red River Basin threaten water resources. This project will be working in the Day River Catchment, a Red River distributary important for Hanoi, where most of these problems are manifest. The project will develop equitable and economically viable pathways for the land and water…

  • ThirdEye: Flying Sensors to Support Farmers’ Decision Making

    The ThirdEye project supports farmers in Mozambique and Kenya with their decision making in farm and crop management by setting up a network of flying sensors operators. Our innovation is a major transformation in farmers’ decision making regarding the application of limited resources such as water, seeds, fertilizer and labor.…

  • Demonstration of Remote Sensing Information for Integrated Reservoir Management in the Red River Basin in Northern Vietnam

    In 2011 the Vietnamese and Dutch government signed a Memorandum of Understanding on the establishment of a Government to Government (G2G) program for improved integrated planning and monitoring of water resources for transboundary water management and disaster risk management. This project was formulated as part of the G2G trajectory towards…

  • Water Allocation Model Development to Support Decision Making Procedures

    Two water allocation models were developed in this project as a tool to support policy evaluation and improve strategic and operational decision making procedures of ARA-Sul, which is one of the five water management organizations in Mozambique. WEAP (Water Evaluation And Planning) was chosen as modelling framework. Different scenarios were…

  • ASSET: Accounting System for the SEgura river and Transfers

    Semiarid coastal regions, as the Southeastern of Spain in which the Segura River Basin is located, are expected to be more affected by climate change and the resulting aggravation of water scarcity, droughts and desertification than other regions. In this project the interactions between the economy and the hydrological system…

  • Bodemvochtgegevens ter ondersteuning van Leverbot analyses

    De Gezondheidsdienst voor Dieren (GD) heeft in de afgelopen jaren een analyse van leverbotbesmettingen uitgevoerd. Dit onderzoek heeft laten zien dat verschillende omgevingsfactoren een rol spelen zoals grondwaterstand, neerslag, temperatuur en bodemtype. Daarnaast is op basis van landsdekkende bodemvochtschattingen door FutureWater vastgesteld dat ook bodemvocht en leverbotbesmettingen gecorreleerd zijn, wat…

  • HI-AWARE: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience

    HI-AWARE aims to contribute to enhanced adaptive capacities and climate resilience of the poor and vulnerable women, men, and children living in the mountains and flood plains of the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra river basins. Research, including modeling, scoping studies, action research, and randomized control trials, is conducted at 12…

  • Impacts of Climate Change in Uganda on the Water Sector

    Uganda’s 2010–2015 five-year National Development Plan (NDP) recognizes that addressing the challenges of climate change is crucial to enhancing sustainable economic and social development. One of the key aims of the present study is to make an economic and social assessment of climate change impacts on the water sector in…

  • SWIMM: Soil Water evaluation system based on Integrated Measurements and Modelling

    The main objective of the project was to support policy making, under current and future climate conditions, on optimal water management in nature reserve areas, based on uniform and consistent data collection. The project built upon knowledge developed under the “Klimaat voor Ruimte” framework and refined and demonstrated a method,…

  • Mapping the Potential for Rainwater Harvesting under Various Scenarios

    Identifying areas where rainwater harvesting is a feasible solution is one of the aims of the RAIN Foundation. In 2010 FutureWater and Deltares were asked by RAIN Foundation to develop maps indicating the potential for rainwater harvesting (RWH) for Mali, Senegal and Burkina Faso. FutureWater and Deltares used the same…

  • Central Asia Regional Risk Assessment for Water Related Energy Sector Impacts

    The objective of this study was to support the “Central Asia Regional Energy Sector Vulnerability Study” led by Industrial Economics (IEc) and funded by the World Bank, by carrying out an expanded risk assessment for water availability and water related energy sector impacts in Central Asia. The work built on…

  • Food Supply and Demand under Climate Change in the Lower Mekong Basin

    In 2013 the Climate Change and Adaptation Initiative of The Mekong River Commission was developing its first report on the status of climate change in the Lower Mekong Basin. An important component of the Status Report would be the impact of climate change on the agricultural sector and the projected…

  • Development of Baseline Climate Data Set and Trend Analysis in the Mekong River Basin

    In 2013 the Climate Change and Adaptation Initiative of The Mekong River Commission was developing its first report on the status of climate change in the Lower Mekong Basin. An important component of this report would be to provide information on trends in the past climate. For this a detailed…

  • Gridded Meteorological Datasets and Hydrological Modelling in the Upper Indus Basin

    Understanding of the hydrological regimes in the mountainous Upper Indus basin (UIB) is essential for water resources management in the region. High-resolution gridded meteorological datasets, which capture the spatial variability of precipitation, are critical for modelling the hydrology of high-mountain regions. Improvements to existing gridded datasets using high-elevation station data…

  • Climate adaptation Colombia

    The 2011 floods and droughts in the Magdalena river basin triggered the Colombian government and water institutions to enforce the attention given to water security and dike safety. To improve the capacities of Colombia for adaptation of water management to climate change pilot projects were started in one small and…

  • Climate change indicators for Mekong River Commission

    With this study, the Climate Change Adaptation Initiative (CCAI) of the Mekong River Commission (MRC) offers a review of existing monitoring systems and indicators of climate change to improve the understanding of riparian governments, relevant line agencies and others on the status and impacts of climate change. The report should…

  • Water Availability Analysis for the Upper Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra River Basins

    As part of the Himalayan Climate Change Adaptation Program (HICAP) ICIMOD has contracted FutureWater to generate climate change and water availability scenarios for the upstream parts of the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins based on a high resolution hydrological model that FutureWater has developed.

  • Water2Invest: Climate Investment Support Portal

    In this project a web-based service was built from which it is possible to select a country or region on a global map, calculate the current water availability from surface water and groundwater as well as current water demands from the three sectors (agriculture, industry, domestic) and to assess from…

  • Addressing Climate Vulnerability of Africa’s Infrastructure

    Climate change is expected to have important implications of the cost, design standards and location of Africa's infrastructure projects. Since what climate will actually occur will remain largely uncertain in the foreseeable future, the challenge is to develop decision making frameworks capable of leading to investment decisions that are “desirable”…

  • Mainstream Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Into Agriculture in the Southern Caucasus

    This study contributes to the agriculture sector climate change impact assessment and adaptation and mitigation strategy identification and evaluation. The study encompasses the three countries of the Southern Caucasus region: Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia. The project also includes components for capacity building among in-country staff, and support of the World…

  • DMIAT: Drought Monitoring and Impact Assessment Toolbox for Vietnam

    In this project a Drought Monitoring and Impact Assessment Toolbox (DMIAT) was developed for Vietnam in order to support their drought policy. A DMIAT is a combination of remote sensing, models, and decision trees. The DMIAT will help Vietnam to better understand past and current droughts, and how to act…

  • Monitoring of Glacier, Climate and Runoff in the Hindu – Kush Himalayan Mountains

    For this project a review was conducted of current state of knowledge in (i) climate change datasets and downscaling used for glacier and high mountain modelling, (ii) glacier and snow contribution to river runoff in the Hindu – Kush Himalayan (HKH) region, (iii) hydrological modelling studies used for glacier and…

  • Klimaat Adaptieve Drainage

    Op 17 mei 2011 heeft FutureWater de opdracht gekregen van AgentschapNL, handelend in opdracht van het Ministerie van Infrastructuur en Milieu, voor het uitvoeren van een onderzoeks en ontwikkelingsproject onder de titel “KlimaatAdaptieve Drainage, een innovatieve methode om piekafvoeren en watertekorten te verminderen” (SBIR113008). Dit project wordt uitgevoerd in het kader van de Small Business...

  • Water and Adaptation Interventions in Central and West Asia

    To assess the water resources availability in the Central Asia region under climate change hydrological models were developed for the two major rivers in the region, the Amu Darya and Syr Darya. Capacity building activities were undertaken to develop the capacity in each of the participating countries to use the…

  • The Middle East and North Africa Regional Water Outlook

    The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is considered the most water-scarce region of the world. Water investments absorb large amounts of public funds, which could often be used more efficiently elsewhere. The need for alternative and improved water management options is therefore urgently needed, but a clear overview…

  • Deltaplan Hoge Zandgronden voor een klimaatbestendig regionaal watersysteem

    Het veranderende klimaat heeft mogelijk grote gevolgen voor de hoge zandgronden in Zuid-Nederland. Naast dat er waarschijnlijk meer aanpassingen nodig zijn om om te kunnen gaan met grote hoeveelheden neerslag in een korte tijd, moet er ook geanticipeerd worden op een langere en extreme perioden van droogte. Waar het anticiperen op extreme neerslag veelal kan...

  • Klimaat Adaptieve Drainage

    Het project Klimaatadaptieve Drainage moet een product opleveren dat het mogelijk maakt piekafvoeren en wateraanvoerbehoefte die naar verwachting toenemen als gevolg van klimaatverandering te beperken. Het stelt de waterschappen in staat om, gebruik makend van agrariërs, te anticiperen op en zich aan te passen aan toenemende weersextremen. De eerste fase bestaat uit een haalbaarheidsonderzoek wat...

  • Vulnerability to Climate Change in Agricultural Systems in Europe and Central Asia

    To estimate the potential physical impacts of climate change on the agricultural sector of Albania and Uzbekistan a quantitative analysis at the agro-ecological zone level was carried out. Combined with an assessment of the country’s existing adaptive capacity, this provided a baseline estimate of vulnerability to climate change in the…

  • Impacts of Global Climate Change on the Water Resources of the Bunyala plains, Kenya

    In this project an Integrated Water Resource Management Planning Tool for improved planning and management of sustainable food and sustainable livelihoods for the Bunyala flood plains of western Kenya was developed together with training materials for technical support in the maintenance and implementation of the planning tool and the facilitation…

  • Q koorts en fysieke omgevingsfactoren

    Er zijn sterke aanwijzingen dat het risico voor besmetting bij de mens met Q koorts afhangt van fysieke omgevingsfactoren, zoals warm weer met droge bodems en een bepaalde wind. Wind met genoeg snelheid en de juiste richting kan stofdeeltjes in de lucht doen komen die de bacterie invangen en deze kunnen vervolgens door mensen en...

  • Climate Change and Hydropower, Impact and Adaptation Costs: Case Study Kenya

    A rapid assessment on the impact of climate change on hydropower generation in the Tana basin in Kenya using the WEAP (Water Evaluation And Planning tool) approach was performed. The approach applied here to use a minimum and maximum climate change projection, provided decision makers with a range of options…

  • Scenario Based Water Resources Model to Support Policy Making

    Appropriate planning in water resources, and more specifically in irrigation, is becoming increasingly important. However, policy makers and planners are often constrained by insufficient knowledge and tools to evaluate the consequences of alternative interventions. To illuminate these issues, a scenario-based policy oriented demonstration model was developed. The model focuses on…

  • Verkennende klimaatstudie Waterschap Vallei en Eem

    Het Waterschap Vallei en Eem is een klimaatstrategie aan het ontwikkelen om zich voor te bereiden op het veranderende klimaat op de langere termijn (2050-2100). Ter ondersteuning bij het tot stand komen van deze strategie is een verkennende klimaatstudie uitgevoerd. De resultaten van deze studie zijn verkregen door gebruik te maken van de huidige kennis...

  • CEOP-AEGIS: Hydrology and meteorology of the Tibetan Plateau

    This project delivered a prototype Water Balance Monitoring System (WBMS) and a three-year data set including observations of the water balance terms of the Tibetan Plateau on weekly and monthly basis. These observations contributed to clarifying the role of Plateau hydrology in the onset and intensity of the Asian Monsoon…

  • Wateroverlast en klimaatverandering

    Er is een gebrek aan een eenduidige methodiek om de gevoeligheid voor klimaatverandering met betrekking tot wateroverlast in kaart te brengen. Op basis van de hoogteligging, helling, en grondwaterstand is deze gevoeligheid landelijk in kaart gebracht. Vervolgens is aan de hand van ruimtelijke ordenings scenarios en klimaatscenarios onderzocht hoe het beeld in 2050 eruit zal...

  • Needs Assessment of Future ESA Satellites for Water Management in Southern Europe

    At the beginning of the 21st century various tools based on Remote Sensing (RS) techniques from satellites to assist land management were developed. Yet, there were no real products dedicated for water management applications. However, around 2005 an increasing number of Remotely Sensed datasets and algorithms relevant to water managers…

  • Klimaat voor Ruimte

    Om de kwel en wegzijging onder verschillende klimaatscenario´s te kunnen voorspellen is er een model ontwikkeld dat op basis van meteorologische gegevens en rivierstanden kwel- en wegzijgingsfluxen kan bepalen. Het model is op een aantal punten verbeterd en getest voor de polder Quarles van Ufford in het beheersgebied van Waterschap Rivierenland. Met het verbeterde model...

  • Klimaatverandering en waterkwaliteit

    De invloed van klimaatverandering op chemische en biologische waterkwaliteitsparameters is het meest coherent is voor veranderingen in temperatuur en neerslag, wind lijkt minder van belang. Opvallend is dat de meeste watertypen ongeveer hetzelfde reageren. Uit waterkwaliteitsgegevens van Wetterskip Fryslân blijken de volgende veranderingen in het chemische regime: versnelde eutrofiëring, toename van het chloridengehalte in droge...

  • Adaptation to Climate Change for Agriculture in The Gambia

    Methodology Development of adaptation benefit-cost framework: The framework was developed in a manner to make it possible to isolate development- and climate-related benefits and costs of individual projects and to assess the sensitivity of adaptation benefits and costs to the uncertainty inherent in regional climate change scenarios. Development of analytical tools and procedures: The project...