Project:Impacts of 1.5 °C global temperature increase for the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins
Cliënt:International Development Research Centre Canada
Programma:Collaborative Adaptation Research Initiative in Africa and Asia (CARIAA)
Partners:Wageningen Environmental Research (Alterra), Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Studies, ICIMOD
Doel:To provide scientific evidence on the impacts of 1.5 °C versus 2 °C global temperature increase for the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins.

Global warming is considered as one of the major threats for the world’s population and coping with it may be one of the largest challenges for this century. The “Paris Agreement”, signed in 2015, agreed on “a long-term goal of keeping the increase in global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels”, and “to aim to limit the increase to 1.5°C”. In response to this development, the IPCC will publish a Special Report on global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, and is gathering scientific content for this report. In response to this call, FutureWater leads a regional assessment quantifying the impacts of a 1.5 ˚C versus a 2 ˚C global warming for a major global climate change hotspot: the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins in South Asia.

Global warming is considered as one of the major threats for the world’s population and coping with it may be one of the largest challenges for this century. Multiple attempts to streamline global policy on climate change mitigation have been made over the past decades, and the “Paris Agreement” which was signed at the 21st Conference of the Parties in 2015 is considered a major breakthrough in formulating adequate measures to tackle climate change. Governments agreed on “a long-term goal of keeping the increase in global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels”, and “to aim to limit the increase to 1.5°C, since this would significantly reduce risks and the impacts of climate change”. In response to this development, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will publish a Special Report on global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, and is gathering scientific content for this report.

Flooding in Bangladesh.

However, scientific evidence of the impacts of a 1.5 ˚C global warming, and more importantly, the differences in impacts between a 1.5 ˚C and a 2 ˚C global warming, is lacking. Therefore, the scientific community has been mobilized to provide this scientific evidence as input to the special report. FutureWater leads a regional assessment quantifying the impacts of a 1.5 ˚C versus a 2 ˚C global warming for a major global climate change hotspot: the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins in South Asia.

Publicaties

  • 2019 - Nature Climate ChangeConway, D., R.J. Nicholls, S. Brown, M.G.L. Tebboth, W. Neil Adger, B. Ahmad, H. Biemans, F. Crick, A.F. Lutz, R. Safra De Campos, M. Said, C. Singh, M. Abdalla Hassan Zaroug, E. Ludi, M. New, P. Wester. 2019. The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions. Nature Climate Change (9) 503-511.X

    The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions

    Conway, D., R.J. Nicholls, S. Brown, M.G.L. Tebboth, W. Neil Adger, B. Ahmad, H. Biemans, F. Crick, A.F. Lutz, R. Safra De Campos, M. Said, C. Singh, M. Abdalla Hassan Zaroug, E. Ludi, M. New, P. Wester

  • 2018 - Regional Environmental ChangeLutz, A.F., H.W. ter Maat, R.R. Wijngaard, H. Biemans, A. Syed, A.B. Shrestha, P. Wester, W.W. Immerzeel. 2018. South Asian river basins in a 1.5 °C warmer world. Reg Environ Change. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1433-4X

    South Asian river basins in a 1.5 °C warmer world

    Lutz, A.F., H.W. ter Maat, R.R. Wijngaard, H. Biemans, A. Syed, A.B. Shrestha, P. Wester, W.W. Immerzeel